Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 106.774199 123.188452 142.707110 168.045780 200.717727 242.393182 301.278452
2024-10-27 83.603487 102.966181 128.523923 166.134806 222.834766 310.634291 470.958774
2024-11-03 74.333179 95.867998 126.542319 176.334787 262.101169 421.911590 811.335144
2024-11-10 71.176079 95.753389 133.364710 200.709342 334.757031 648.005758 1829.876931
2024-11-17 64.007127 88.188821 126.761682 200.061111 360.348634 802.130304 3311.595969
2024-11-24 58.309854 81.889430 120.791503 198.505060 383.187309 980.783916 6703.156924
2024-12-01 53.173421 75.740439 113.924681 193.195395 394.606952 1144.823842 14795.258164
2024-12-08 49.430216 71.391363 109.491069 191.727492 415.928211 1397.754214 63353.698768
2024-12-15 46.589389 68.209512 106.658349 192.992743 446.581992 1788.942651 NaN
2024-12-22 43.225915 63.784039 100.875332 186.136461 448.307830 2025.201915 NaN
2024-12-29 42.080123 63.096143 102.156660 196.483796 517.205843 3170.798474 NaN
2025-01-05 39.441247 59.501427 97.213416 190.062898 519.001746 3679.290928 NaN
2025-01-12 37.740913 57.676010 96.075496 194.670572 577.879941 6035.162064 NaN
2025-01-19 35.537428 54.765780 92.398633 191.776012 603.912876 8851.818928 NaN
2025-01-26 34.731363 54.369093 93.976818 204.406964 727.482259 29375.973727 NaN
2025-02-02 35.032833 56.096590 100.497948 235.007561 1033.151465 NaN NaN
2025-02-09 33.416950 53.901175 97.708019 234.187505 1114.316670 NaN NaN
2025-02-16 31.901022 51.777957 94.816161 232.220945 1188.391640 NaN NaN
2025-02-23 30.290098 49.343441 90.900592 225.524400 1207.422394 NaN NaN
2025-03-02 29.052521 47.582144 88.434044 223.676873 1284.229017 NaN NaN
2025-03-09 28.073745 46.280298 86.951296 225.269241 1417.251437 NaN NaN
2025-03-16 26.726963 44.130145 83.131569 216.655060 1395.369344 NaN NaN
2025-03-23 26.378587 44.035481 84.498148 229.669202 1764.309394 NaN NaN